Japan Makes Bold Bid to Deter China
Abe moves to check the CPC.
More after the break.
Abe quietly postures up, and will begin to remilitarize Japan. This is directly China's doing. Whatever the outcome, China has earned this. Japan will quickly produce the high quality missiles necessary to functional execute on this assertion. China cannot counter. The quality of Chinese products is shockingly inferior, its military is deeply corrupt, it is untested, and has had no serious military training for decades. To the contrary, the majority of a recruits time is spent in some form of indoctrination, not quality military training. This is because the CPC has always been most concerned with internal threats, not external. The military is primarily a force to maintain public order, and quell rebellion, not fight foreign enemies.
China cannot project force as far as Taiwan, if it could it would have retaken the island long ago. It is a paper tiger playing against the real thing. Adding to the problem, China has inflamed nearly every other power ringing the South China Sea. Most of whom have far better, and recent military experience than does China.
Last, many, perhaps most of these nations have substantial relations with the US.
It is unclear whether the CPC understands that its economy is faltering, and is attempting to create an external enemy in order to divert the peoples attention from the economy, or if this is something different. It clearly is an attempt to draw boundaries around valuable resources.
As Mead notes: "It’s certainly a clever tactic, one with the potential to throw a wrench in China’s strategy. China and Japan are constantly arguing about which side is the aggressor, and this is Japan’s attempt to give China no way in to the East China Sea without using force."
More importantly, it will force China to prove that it can use force. Choosing to use force is easy if one is capable, but impossible if not. I suspect China has the will, but not the capability.
Abe moves to Check China. We will need to see if this is Checkmate.