Get predicts big jump in car-hailing
I agree it will be big, I don't know how big. Once the cars go full robot, the hailing will only increase. In part because the costs will be so low due to smaller more efficient motors, lower insurance costs, faster depreciation of the vehicles, better and more consistent maintenance, flexibility (you can have every kind of car at your fingertips from two seater, to large 12 passenger van), and users can recover garage space for living or storage.
The current driver operated model is not as attractive since some people are concerned about riding with an operator they do not know.
I have no idea if half of all rides will be hails by 2026, but that would not surprise me. I believe that the self drive auto will have the fastest market penetration of any tech device.
Older Boomers who are having difficulty driving, Millennials who simply don't want the hassle of driving, owning, or maintaining a car will be attracted, as will families with children who can now be untethered from a parent driver, this list is endless.