U.S. Officials Fear Saudi Collapse If New Prince Fails
The House of Saud reigns based on an agreement between the Saud, and the Wahhabi clerics. The Wahhabi beliefs are the genesis for ISIS.
More below the fold.
"Officials in the national security establishment believe Saudi Arabia is at a crossroads, and that if the prince doesn't succeed, now and later as king, there could be chaos in the Kingdom. "It's him or it's ISIS," said one Saudi expert who asked that his name not be used."
Only an "official" in the national security establishment could get something this easy this wrong.
"Mohammed Bin Salman, Saudi Arabia's 30-year-old deputy crown prince, is on a tour of the U.S. that will include New York and Silicon Valley. His biggest meetings are with top U.S. officials in Washington, D.C., this week, including Secretary of State Kerry on Monday and a scheduled visit with President Obama at the White House Friday morning."
The young face of the House of Evil, meets with the old face of the Administration of Incompetence. Mon Dieu, just shoot me now.
"Bruce Riedel, former national intelligence officer for the Mid-East and a member of President Obama's transition team, said that U.S. leaders now need to familiarize themselves with a man who may be king soon. King Salman is 80 and fragile and Bin Nayef, who the U.S. would've preferred as his successor, is seriously ill. "We've put a lot of markers down on Mohammed bin Nayef. It's the smart move to do the same with Bin Salman. It's an opportunity to get to know him.'"
By all means climb in, I am sure the bed is comfortable. But why would the US want to climb into bed with Evil? The Cold War mentality. This antediluvian understanding of foreign policy forces the US to desire authoritarian despots, tyrants, and evil dictators, because they can control their nations peoples better than republicans can. And everyone knows we are in an ideological war with the USSR, er, Russia, er, well somebody.
But we are not. And so we support tyranny, dictatorships, and malignant autocracies instead of sending the peoples of these nations a copy of the Declaration of Independence, with our full backing and support. Good outcome, probably not, we have spent nearly 100 years making sure a good outcome is nigh on impossible. This is something we excel at doing.
The root of the problem is our oxymoronic "national security establishment" which is not interested in our national security. If it were, they would be combating international terrorism, which is strongly related to the House of Saud, and the Sunni/Wahhabi proselytizing throughout the muslim world, with its anti-American message. Instead it is trying to hop abed with them.
"Salman has embarked on a number of costly foreign interventions, including a war against the Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen. The war had initial success, but became a stalemate that was costing the Kingdom $200 million per day until a ceasefire went into effect this spring. International human rights activists heavily criticized the Saudis for wanton attacks on Yemeni civilians."
They fight our natural ally, and we do everything to support our natural enemy . . . What are we thinking? I know what the authors were thinking:
"Bin Salman also made a poor choice about the Kingdom's primary source of cash. As economic czar, he backed last year's decision to keep pumping oil despite plummeting global prices. Saudi Arabia's revenues have dropped, forcing huge cuts in social services, including the generous subsidies that the Kingdom pays to it citizens. Those subsidies had been increased in 2012 following the Arab Spring as a way of keeping dissent at bay among the country's burgeoning --and restive -population of young males."
Mon Dieu! He made the only decision he could have made in light of the existential fight underway between the Wahhabi/Sunni House of Saud, and allies, and the Shia Iran and its allies. How can you write about this and not understand it and point out its importance?
The huge cuts in social services were always coming, nothing could stop them, they are a function of a world spinning into recession, American ingenuity with oil fracking, and the resulting glut of oil, no amount of Saudi cutting production would have solved this problem. America and Canada would have simply picked up the slack, and Saudi would have been left with dramatically lower income regardless, some solution you have there. The House of Saud needs every penny it can find, they are in an existential war, we should be doing everything in our power to ensure this war continues for as long as possible. This is every bit as important a fight as the fight against tyranny during WWII. However, it is a fight we must also remain aloof.
And about that "restive-population of young males" we call them terrorists here, we are not so foolish as President Flapdoodle to believe that they are only terrorists because we use mean word like "Islamic terrorists." They are terrorists because 1. these nations destroy the young mens ability to enter the economy, produce and succeed, which forces them to see, understand, and hate the self for its imperfections, and 2. the Wahhabi religion is a malignant canker, unreformed, and deadly, lashing out at all other, but offering these malignant young men a mechanism to insulate them from the self that they so deeply hate.
The True Believer: Thoughts on the Nature of Mass Movements by Eric Hoffer
"'The drive to diversify the economy is driven by big needs. One is to protect the country's economy and the national budget from the volatility of oil prices. Another is to generate the jobs that are required for a country in which 70 percent of the population is 30 or under in age, and where youth unemployment may be as high as 30 percent," said Dan Yergin, the economic historian and author of "The Quest" and "The Prize." "A third reason is to make Saudi Arabia not only a powerhouse when it comes to oil but also a major power in global finance."
Agreed, they have big needs, the idea that they will become a global finance "powerhouse" is a joke. If they had the impetus it would already be so. They have neither the know-how or the drive to put in the work. Perhaps Americans or Europeans can build this but it will not be Saudi.
We need to let the existential Islamic Reformation run its course. The Iranians are much better prepared to fight this battle to successful conclusion, all we can do is muck it up and allow the House of Saud, one of the great human rights abusers left in the world, to evade the end of their evil regime.
Only our State Department and our intelligence establishment could fall for this imbecility, oh, and President Flapdoodle.