US Relations With China Were Just Destroyed, And Nothing Will Ever Be The Same Again
"Our relationship with China just went from bad to worse, and most Americans don’t even realize that we just witnessed one of the most critical foreign policy decisions of this century. The U.S. Senate just unanimously passed the “Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act of 2019”, and the Chinese are absolutely seething with anger. Violent protests have been rocking Hong Kong for months, and the Chinese have repeatedly accused the United States of being behind the protests. Whether that is true or not, the U.S. Senate has openly sided with the protesters by passing this bill, and there is no turning back now." Ok, so what? Why am I supposed to be worried about the CCP getting butt hurt about the fact that they are acting tyrannically in Hong Kong, and we don't like it? "And you can forget about a comprehensive trade agreement ever happening. Even if a Democrat is elected in 2020, that Democrat is going to back what the Senate just did. That is why it was such a major deal that this bill passed by unanimous consent. It sent a message to the Chinese that Republicans and Democrats are united on this issue and that the next election is not going to change anything." Ok, I got it, but, again, why should I worry? "I am finding it difficult to find the words to describe what this means to the Chinese. We have deeply insulted their national honor, and our relationship with them will never be the same again." Dude? Yeah, I got that, but why is this bad? Time to shite or get off the pot, tell me in plain English why this is bad for me, the US, and the world. "Many will debate whether standing up to China on this issue was the right thing to do, but in this article I am trying to get you to understand that there will be severe consequences for what the U.S. Senate just did. There isn’t going to be a comprehensive trade deal, the global economy is going to suffer greatly, and the Chinese now consider us to be their primary global adversary." Wait a minute; I get it; you have no answer to the question. You believe this will be bad, but you have no analysis as to why, or even how it will be bad, this is just a belief. He ends with: "For a long time I have been warning that U.S. relations with China would greatly deteriorate, and this is the biggest blow that we have seen yet. The U.S. and China are now enemies, and ultimately that is going to result in a tremendous amount of pain for the entire planet." All those words wasted saying the same thing over and over and over without ever even hinting at why you should accept this author's beliefs as true. The reason is that he has no analysis or reasoning as to why. He probably long ago accepted that a breakdown of US/China trade would be catastrophic to China, the US, and the world. I do not doubt that if US/China trade broke down immediately, it would be damaging to the US economy with the poorest in the US hit the hardest. But I also do not doubt that many other nations would quickly step forward to begin manufacturing the products the US needed. Perhaps these shortages would last for a few years for the simple things like clothing, and plastic widgets and likely longer for the more elaborate devices. Even so, we are at the cusp of large scale automation of ever more complex items; for example, Apple has brought some manufacturing back to the US. For the US, this would all mean low-level pain and some rough economic roads ahead, but for China, this would be a serious and permanent economic blow. It is unlikely China would ever recover from the loss of the US as a primary trade partner. Being cut off from the US markets is a death blow for China, not a minor problem to be resolved in a few years. China exports
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